UACN
Investo's verdict, shared with you
No fair value published
The derivation ran and was refused by our own plausibility checks. We publish no number rather than a plausible-looking one.
Why · 2 checks
The derivation failed our plausibility check
The computed value landed outside the 0.4×–2.5× band that real price targets occupy. A result that far from the traded price means one of our inputs is wrong, not that the market is wrong by that much — so we publish nothing rather than clamp it into range.
A per-share input was repaired or refused
One of the per-share figures behind this valuation did not agree with the audited totals it should reconcile to, so it was recomputed from those totals or rejected outright.
What we would need
- A per-share input (earnings or book value) that reconciles to the latest audited totals.
- A per-share figure in the source data that reconciles to the reported totals.
Show what the engine computed
Rejected figure · ₦45.12 — floor — raw base ₦45.12 is 0.25x price. This figure is shown only to document what was refused; it is not an estimate and no upside is computed from it.
Method spread · 1.20× between the highest and lowest valuation leg.
Failed plausibility rail · Fair value hit our plausibility bounds: floor — raw base ₦45.12 is 0.25x price. The published base is the rail, not a derivation.
Figure corrected · independently sourced EPS ₦0.29 is 0.09x our filing-derived ₦3.39 — one of the two earnings bases is wrong; the P/E leg is unreliable until resolved
Input quality · independently sourced EPS ₦0.29 is 0.09x our filing-derived ₦3.39 — one of the two earnings bases is wrong; the P/E leg is unreliable until resolved
Independent cross-check · independent data source eps 0.29 REJECTED — it neither reproduces the traded price via our independent data source own pe_ratio 22.77 nor agrees with our filing-derived EPS 3.39. Treat independently sourced EPS as unreliable for this name.
UACN has undergone a structural step-change in scale following the consolidation of C.H.I Limited, with H1 2026 revenue of ₦365bn representing a 3.3x year-on-year increase and operating profit of ₦49bn growing 3.9x — a genuine earnings inflection that independent data source data has failed to capture, creating a dangerous EPS data conflict that renders standard P/E-based valuation unreliable at current price. Trading at ₦178.2 against a filing-derived BVPS of ₦25.87 implies a 6.89x P/B multiple against a sector median of 1.98x, a premium so extreme that even transformative consolidation benefits struggle to justify it. Until the EPS discrepancy between our independent data source ₦0.29 and our filing-derived ₦3.39 is formally reconciled and full-year earnings power from the enlarged group is demonstrated, the market price embeds assumptions that cannot be independently verified.
Verdict published 2026-08-10 · fundamentals through H1 2026 · reviewed as the data changes
Verdict moderated to Watch — Avoid was refused
Fair value hit our plausibility bounds, so there is no defensible valuation behind an extreme call.
Source: NGX live market data · Investo intelligence. Educational only — not financial advice.