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InvestoNGX Intelligence

BUAFOODS

Investo's verdict, shared with you

watchlow confidence3-month horizon

No fair value published

The derivation ran and was refused by our own plausibility checks. We publish no number rather than a plausible-looking one.

Why · 3 checks

  • Our valuation methods disagree

    The earnings-based and book-based readings of this company differ by more than 2.5×. That spread is real information, but averaging it would manufacture a number no method actually produced.

  • The derivation failed our plausibility check

    The computed value landed outside the 0.4×–2.5× band that real price targets occupy. A result that far from the traded price means one of our inputs is wrong, not that the market is wrong by that much — so we publish nothing rather than clamp it into range.

  • A per-share input was repaired or refused

    One of the per-share figures behind this valuation did not agree with the audited totals it should reconcile to, so it was recomputed from those totals or rejected outright.

What we would need

  • Earnings and book value drawn from the same set of accounts, so the two legs can be reconciled.
  • A per-share input (earnings or book value) that reconciles to the latest audited totals.
  • A per-share figure in the source data that reconciles to the reported totals.
Show what the engine computed

Rejected figure · 203.69 floor — raw base ₦203.69 is 0.24x price. This figure is shown only to document what was refused; it is not an estimate and no upside is computed from it.

Method spread · 4.94× between the highest and lowest valuation leg.

Methods disagree · The valuation legs disagree by 4.94x (Blended P/E band ₦93.41 vs Blended P/B band ₦461). No point estimate is defensible until the inputs are reconciled.

Failed plausibility rail · Fair value hit the credibility rail: floor — raw base ₦203.69 is 0.24x price. The published base is the rail, not a derivation.

Input repaired · vendor EPS ₦28.21 is 5x our filing-derived ₦5.65 — one of the two earnings bases is wrong; the P/E leg is unreliable until resolved

Input quality · vendor EPS ₦28.21 is 5x our filing-derived ₦5.65 — one of the two earnings bases is wrong; the P/E leg is unreliable until resolved

BUA Foods is a quality Nigerian consumer staples franchise with a strong Q1-2026 PBT margin of ~39% and a dominant position in sugar, flour, and pasta, but the stock trades at ₦845.1 against a comput…

Source: NGX live market data · Investo intelligence. Educational only — not financial advice.

BUAFOODS — WATCH | Investo